About this site
Meteor Shower answers one question — is tonight worth going outside for, where you actually are — and answers it with arithmetic rather than a generic almanac.
Who makes it
It is built and maintained by Ilsur Gabdulkhakov, an independent developer. The same person wrote the forecast engine, the apps and this text; there is no editorial team behind it, and no one pays for placement on this site.
How the forecasts are made
Meteor-shower visibility is deterministic: given a latitude, a longitude and a date, the radiant altitude, the moon, the twilight window and the resulting hourly rate all follow from astronomy. Every number on the site is computed from those inputs at build time — not copied from another site, and not hand-written per city. The full method, including what the rate ranges do and do not promise, is on the methodology page.
How these forecasts are madeWhat it is computed from
- International Meteor Organization — shower dates, activity periods and ZHR
- IAU Meteor Data Center — radiant coordinates and stream identities
- astronomy-engine v2.1.19 — sun, moon and radiant positions
- Open-Meteo — cloud cover, fetched in your browser
What it will not tell you
It will not promise you meteors. Rates are modelled ranges for a patient, dark-adapted observer under the stated sky, and real outcomes vary with haze, horizon and luck. Cloud cover is a live forecast fetched in your browser, which is the one part of the answer that is not deterministic — treat it as weather, with all that implies.
Corrections and contact
If a number looks wrong, please say so — computed does not mean infallible, and a reproducible complaint is the fastest way to a fix. Write to support@ilsur.me